Market Dynamics: Greenback's Unrelenting Ascent
The Why is monero banned in usafinancial markets witnessed another week of dollar supremacy as the US Dollar Index (DXY) extended its winning streak to five consecutive weeks. This 0.5% appreciation occurred against a backdrop of broad-based weakness in major currencies, with the British Pound standing as the sole exception due to unexpectedly robust inflation figures.
Technical Perspective on DXY Momentum
Chart analysis reveals the index has decisively broken through its 200-day moving average, traditionally considered a bullish signal. However, oscillators suggest the rally may be approaching overbought territory, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) nearing critical thresholds that often precede consolidation periods.
Fundamental Catalysts Driving Dollar Demand
Two primary factors continue fueling dollar strength: rising Treasury yields and heightened risk aversion. The 10-year Treasury note yield climbed steadily throughout the week, reflecting market expectations of prolonged Fed hawkishness following stronger-than-anticipated retail sales data and hawkish FOMC minutes.
Fed Policy Expectations Reshape Markets
The July meeting minutes revealed most committee members view inflation risks as skewed to the upside, with particular concern about service sector price pressures. This has led markets to price in higher odds of additional policy tightening, supporting dollar-denominated assets.
Currency Crosscurrents: Yen's Precarious Position
While most currencies weakened against the dollar, the Japanese yen demonstrated relative resilience, declining only 0.3% despite significant headwinds. Japan's core inflation metrics showed persistent price pressures, potentially complicating the Bank of Japan's ultra-accommodative stance.
USD/JPY Technical Outlook
The currency pair faces immediate resistance near 146.00, with support emerging around 145.00. A break below this support zone could signal deeper correction potential, while holding above may indicate consolidation before another test of recent highs.
Market Watch: Upcoming Catalysts
Attention now turns to the Jackson Hole Symposium, where central bankers' commentary could provide critical guidance. Particularly, any signals from Fed Chair Powell regarding the terminal rate or duration of restrictive policy may determine the dollar's next directional move.
Technical Levels to Monitor
For the DXY, immediate support rests at 102.40 with resistance at 104.20. In USD/JPY, the 143.00-148.00 range appears likely to contain price action in the near term, barring significant fundamental developments.